How do warming oceans affect anti-submarine capabilities?
For Europäische Sicherheit & Technik, I summarized the findings of a groundbreaking study that has sparked significant debate among national security decision-makers and academics alike. Published in the Spring 2024 issue of Texas National Security Review (TNSR), the study explores how climate change-induced shifts in ocean conditions are impacting the ability to detect submarines. The findings reveal that while the effects vary geographically, overall, the range of detection through underwater acoustics is shrinking as a result of these environmental changes.
These conclusions carry profound geopolitical implications. Submarine-launched ballistic missiles form a cornerstone of nuclear deterrence and underwater activities are playing an increasingly critical role in great power competition. The study underscores the urgent need to consider environmental factors in shaping future defense strategies and maritime security policies.
Find my summary here.